La-Monroe
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 63.4746Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H St Francis 29- 0 906 A Alabama SEC (11- 4, 89.4) 0-73 920 A UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 31-25 927 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 28-16 1004 A Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 7-42 1011 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 8-23 1018 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 14-37 1025 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 21-49 1101 H Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 6-31 1115 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 14-26 1122 A Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 14-31 1129 A Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 27-30
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Alabama 0-73 -73 -31 0.00
920 A UTEP 31-25 6 -4 +++ 9.63
927 H Arkansas State 28-16 12 -1 +++ 13.18
1004 A Northwestern 7-42 -35 -21 0.00
1011 A Coastal Car 8-23 -15 -13 -0.81
1018 H Troy 14-37 -23 -3 --- -11.14
1025 A So Miss 21-49 -28 -10 -- -4.01
1101 H Old Dominion 6-31 -25 -13 -1.16
1115 H So Alabama 14-26 -12 1 --- -13.26
1122 A Texas State 14-31 -17 -13 -0.75
1129 A Louisiana 27-30 -3 -11 +++ 8.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Troy 14-37 -23 -3 --- -11.14 1115 H So Alabama 14-26 -12 1 --- -13.26 1025 A So Miss 21-49 -28 -10 -- -4.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A UTEP 31-25 6 -4 +++ 9.63 927 H Arkansas State 28-16 12 -1 +++ 13.18 1129 A Louisiana 27-30 -3 -11 +++ 8.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Alabama (11- 4, 89.4) 0-73 -10.51 40.71 5.26 1.16 -3.04
3 A UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 31-25 -38.06 13.16 5.26 1.16 42.70
3 H Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 28-16 -29.99 21.23 -5.26 1.16 37.03
3 A Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 7-42 -20.75 30.47 5.26 1.16 -8.98
3 A Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 8-23 -28.49 22.72 5.26 1.16 -13.47
3 H Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 14-37 -28.31 22.91 -5.26 1.16 -19.45
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 21-49 -31.70 19.52 5.26 1.16 -15.32
3 H Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 6-31 -18.33 32.89 -5.26 1.16 -13.67
3 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 14-26 -32.42 18.80 -5.26 1.16 -21.84
3 A Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 14-31 -28.44 22.78 5.26 1.16 -13.43
3 A Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 27-30 -30.35 20.87 5.26 1.16 -14.54
------
-44.02
|
winning pts = 79.7309 losing points = -123.7473
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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